OH Leuven vs KV Mechelen: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)King Power at Den Dreef Stadion, Heverlee
The Footlab model makes OH Leuven the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for KV Mechelen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win OH Leuven vs KV Mechelen?
A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate OH Leuven (1,832) and KV Mechelen (1,887).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, OH Leuven have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; KV Mechelen have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Club Brugge KV(home) | 0-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Charleroi(away) | 1-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lille(home) | 3-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Heerenveen(away) | 4-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Club Brugge II(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Charleroi(away) | 0-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Standard Liege(home) | 3-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Gent(away) | 0-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Dunkerque(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Willem II(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 OH Leuven win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 KV Mechelen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | OH Leuven 2-2 KV Mechelen | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 25, 2025 | KV Mechelen 1-1 OH Leuven | Jupiler Pro League |
| May 3, 2025 | OH Leuven 1-2 KV Mechelen | Jupiler Pro League |
| Apr 13, 2025 | KV Mechelen 1-1 OH Leuven | Jupiler Pro League |
| Jan 31, 2025 | OH Leuven 1-0 KV Mechelen | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 5, 2024 | KV Mechelen 5-0 OH Leuven | Jupiler Pro League |
Last archived meeting: OH Leuven vs KV Mechelen on Feb 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
OH Leuven score 1.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; KV Mechelen score 1.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OH Leuven | 1.5 | 2.3 | 2 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| KV Mechelen | 1.1 | 1.8 | 4 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
OH Leuven sit 16th in Jupiler Pro League (0 points from 2 matches) and KV Mechelen sit 14th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | KV Mechelen | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
| 16 | OH Leuven | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for OH Leuven vs KV Mechelen?
- The Footlab model makes OH Leuven the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for KV Mechelen.
- Where and when is OH Leuven vs KV Mechelen played?
- OH Leuven vs KV Mechelen is played on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at King Power at Den Dreef Stadion, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.