Union St. Gilloise vs Genk: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Joseph Mariën, Brussels
The Footlab AI model makes Union St. Gilloise the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Genk. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Union St. Gilloise vs Genk?
Union St. Gilloise starts as the favourite with a 213-point Elo edge (2,279 vs 2,066).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Union St. Gilloise vs Genk
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Union St. Gilloise
3-4-1-2- 9M. Biondic
- 38R. Mofokeng
- 27L. Patris
- 23B. Zeneli
- 11Guilherme Henriques da Silva Carvalho
- 6K. Van de Perre
- 8A. Zorgane
- 29M. Sylla
- 80O. Kričfaluši
- 55N. Havenaar
- 12H. Koffi
Genk
4-2-3-1- 17R. Durosinmi
- 8B. Heynen
- 10J. Ito
- 11J. Erenbjerg
- 32Noah Adedeji-Sternberg
- 21I. Bangoura
- 20K. Amaro
- 18J. Kayembe
- 44J. Kongolo
- 6M. Smets
- 28L. Kiaba Mounganga
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 11:24 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Union St. Gilloise have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Genk have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Antwerp(away) | 2-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Plzen(away) | 3-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Lommel United(home) | 5-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Charleroi(away) | 3-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 2, 2026 | St. Truiden(away) | 3-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Club Brugge KV(away) | 0-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Gent(home) | 1-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Anderlecht(away) | 0-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 28, 2026 | SK Beveren(home) | 4-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Union St. Gilloise wins, 0 draws, 1 Genk win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise 2-1 Genk | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Genk 1-2 Union St. Gilloise | Jupiler Pro League |
| May 3, 2025 | Union St. Gilloise 1-0 Genk | Jupiler Pro League |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Genk 1-2 Union St. Gilloise | Jupiler Pro League |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Genk 2-1 Union St. Gilloise | Jupiler Pro League |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Union St. Gilloise 4-0 Genk | Jupiler Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Union St. Gilloise vs Genk on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Union St. Gilloise score 2.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Genk score 1.6 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union St. Gilloise | 2.9 | 1.3 | 7 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| Genk | 1.6 | 2.0 | 2 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Union St. Gilloise sit 1st in Jupiler Pro League (19 points from 7 matches) and Genk sit 10th (9 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union St. Gilloise | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 3 | 19 |
| 10 | Genk | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 12 | 9 |
A question about Union St. Gilloise vs Genk?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Union St. Gilloise vs Genk?
- The Footlab AI model makes Union St. Gilloise the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Genk.
- Where and when is Union St. Gilloise vs Genk played?
- Union St. Gilloise vs Genk is played on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Joseph Mariën, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.