L'Aquila vs Real Giulianova: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 14Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Gran Sasso d'Italia, L’Aquila
The Footlab model makes L'Aquila the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Real Giulianova. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win L'Aquila vs Real Giulianova?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate L'Aquila (1,725) and Real Giulianova (1,729).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, L'Aquila have 2 wins, 7 draws and 6 defeats; Real Giulianova have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Termoli Calcio(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Ancona(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Ostia Mare(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Sammaurese(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Notaresco(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Ostia Mare(home) | 4-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Maceratese(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Chieti(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Castelfidardo Calcio(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Unipomezia(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 L'Aquila win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Real Giulianova win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Real Giulianova 2-2 L'Aquila | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 19, 2025 | L'Aquila 1-0 Real Giulianova | Serie D - Girone F |
Last archived meeting: Real Giulianova vs L'Aquila on Feb 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
L'Aquila score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Real Giulianova score 1.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L'Aquila | 0.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Real Giulianova | 1.3 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
L'Aquila sit 6th in Serie D - Girone F (51 points from 34 matches) and Real Giulianova sit 7th (49 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | L'Aquila | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 53 | 44 | 51 |
| 7 | Real Giulianova | 34 | 11 | 16 | 7 | 40 | 31 | 49 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for L'Aquila vs Real Giulianova?
- The Footlab model makes L'Aquila the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Real Giulianova.
- Where and when is L'Aquila vs Real Giulianova played?
- L'Aquila vs Real Giulianova is played on November 29, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Gran Sasso d'Italia, in the Serie D - Girone F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.