Maceratese vs Vigor Senigallia: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 14Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Helvia Recina, Macerata
The Footlab AI model makes Vigor Senigallia the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Maceratese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Vigor Senigallia wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maceratese vs Vigor Senigallia?
On Elo ratings, Maceratese has 1,560 points and Vigor Senigallia 1,658.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Maceratese vs Vigor Senigallia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Maceratese
4-3-3- 9Matteo Colombi
- 16Federico Palmieri
- 15D. Allegretti
- 8Alberto Quadri
- 7L. De Grazia
- 10Gianluca Turchetta
- 14Christian Ventola
- 5D. Marchetti
- 6Filippo Gattari
- 4A. Bondioli
- 22F. Forte
Vigor Senigallia
Not enough data to predict the Vigor Senigallia lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 11:10 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maceratese have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Vigor Senigallia have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Foligno Calcio(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Recanatese(away) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Santegidiese(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Pietralunga(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Ancona(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Atletico Ascoli(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Teramo(away) | 4-6 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Fossombrone(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Termoli Calcio(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Lanciano FC(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Maceratese wins, 0 draws, 2 Vigor Senigallia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2026 | Vigor Senigallia 1-0 Maceratese | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Maceratese 0-1 Vigor Senigallia | Serie D - Girone F |
Last archived meeting: Vigor Senigallia vs Maceratese on Jan 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Maceratese score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Vigor Senigallia score 2.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maceratese | 1.0 | 1.5 | 2 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Vigor Senigallia | 2.1 | 1.8 | 2 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maceratese sit 14th in Serie D - Girone F (7 points from 7 matches) and Vigor Senigallia sit 5th (13 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Vigor Senigallia | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 13 |
| 14 | Maceratese | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 7 |
A question about Maceratese vs Vigor Senigallia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maceratese vs Vigor Senigallia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Vigor Senigallia the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Maceratese.
- Where and when is Maceratese vs Vigor Senigallia played?
- Maceratese vs Vigor Senigallia is played on November 29, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Helvia Recina, in the Serie D - Girone F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.