L'Entregu vs Covadonga: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 31Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Nalón, El Entrego
The Footlab model makes Covadonga the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for L'Entregu. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win L'Entregu vs Covadonga?
Covadonga starts as the favourite with a 179-point Elo edge (1,931 vs 1,751).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, L'Entregu have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Covadonga have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Praviano(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 3, 2026 | Lenense(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | San Martín(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Covadonga(home) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Avilés Stadium(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Caudal(home) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 31, 2026 | Caudal(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 24, 2026 | Mosconia(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 17, 2026 | Mosconia(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 9, 2026 | Real Titánico(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 L'Entregu win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Covadonga win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | L'Entregu 0-4 Covadonga | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Covadonga 3-0 L'Entregu | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Covadonga 2-1 L'Entregu | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Nov 1, 2024 | L'Entregu 0-0 Covadonga | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Feb 26, 2023 | Covadonga 0-1 L'Entregu | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 23, 2022 | L'Entregu 0-3 Covadonga | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: L'Entregu vs Covadonga on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
L'Entregu score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Covadonga score 2.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L'Entregu | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Covadonga | 2.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
L'Entregu sit 7th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 (49 points from 34 matches) and Covadonga sit 2nd (80 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Covadonga | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 88 | 24 | 80 |
| 7 | L'Entregu | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 41 | 42 | 49 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for L'Entregu vs Covadonga?
- The Footlab model makes Covadonga the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for L'Entregu.
- Where and when is L'Entregu vs Covadonga played?
- L'Entregu vs Covadonga is played on April 18, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Nalón, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.