L'Entregu vs Covadonga: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 31Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Nalón, El Entrego
The Footlab AI model makes Covadonga the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for L'Entregu. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,460 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win L'Entregu vs Covadonga?
Covadonga starts as the favourite with a 225-point Elo edge (1,935 vs 1,710).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for L'Entregu vs Covadonga
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
L'Entregu
Not enough data to predict the L'Entregu lineup.
Covadonga
Not enough data to predict the Covadonga lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 05:37 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, L'Entregu have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Covadonga have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Siero(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Colunga(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Caudal(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Langreo(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Avilés Stadium(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | San Martín(away) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Siero(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Colunga(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Caudal(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Langreo(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 L'Entregu win, 1 draw, 4 Covadonga wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | L'Entregu 0-4 Covadonga | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Covadonga 3-0 L'Entregu | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Covadonga 2-1 L'Entregu | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Nov 1, 2024 | L'Entregu 0-0 Covadonga | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Feb 26, 2023 | Covadonga 0-1 L'Entregu | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 23, 2022 | L'Entregu 0-3 Covadonga | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: L'Entregu vs Covadonga on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
L'Entregu score 0.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Covadonga score 2.4 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L'Entregu | 0.9 | 1.6 | 4 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Covadonga | 2.4 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
L'Entregu sit 14th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 (4 points from 6 matches) and Covadonga sit 1st (13 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Covadonga | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 4 | 13 |
| 14 | L'Entregu | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 4 |
A question about L'Entregu vs Covadonga?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for L'Entregu vs Covadonga?
- The Footlab AI model makes Covadonga the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for L'Entregu.
- Where and when is L'Entregu vs Covadonga played?
- L'Entregu vs Covadonga is played on April 18, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Nalón, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.