La Calzada vs Yagüe: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 16Group 16 - 28Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Rollo, Santo Domingo de la Calzada
The Footlab AI model makes La Calzada the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Yagüe. The most likely score is 1-1. If La Calzada wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,479 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win La Calzada vs Yagüe?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate La Calzada (1,696) and Yagüe (1,649).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for La Calzada vs Yagüe
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
La Calzada
Not enough data to predict the La Calzada lineup.
Yagüe
Not enough data to predict the Yagüe lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 09:32 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, La Calzada have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Yagüe have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Berceo(away) | 1-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Comillas(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Varea(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Vianés(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Casalarreina(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Anguiano(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cenicero(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Haro Deportivo(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | River Ebro(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Alfaro(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 La Calzada wins, 3 draws, 1 Yagüe win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | La Calzada 0-0 Yagüe | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Yagüe 2-1 La Calzada | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Yagüe 1-1 La Calzada | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Nov 10, 2024 | La Calzada 3-1 Yagüe | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Jan 29, 2023 | La Calzada 1-1 Yagüe | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 24, 2022 | Yagüe 1-5 La Calzada | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
How many goals should we expect?
La Calzada score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Yagüe score 0.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Calzada | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Yagüe | 0.9 | 1.9 | 1 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
La Calzada sit 5th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 (12 points from 6 matches) and Yagüe sit 12th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | La Calzada | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 12 |
| 12 | Yagüe | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 6 |
A question about La Calzada vs Yagüe?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for La Calzada vs Yagüe?
- The Footlab AI model makes La Calzada the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Yagüe.
- Where and when is La Calzada vs Yagüe played?
- La Calzada vs Yagüe is played on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Rollo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 16.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.