La Luz vs Penarol: result 3-2 and analysis
Primera DivisiónIntermediate Round - 1Kick-off on June 2, 2023 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel, Maldonado
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What was the result of La Luz vs Penarol?
La Luz won 3-2 on June 2, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 60′S. CristóforoPenarol
- 85′N. RoyónLa Luz (pen.)
- 90′S. RodríguezPenarol (pen.)
- 90′L. MachadoLa Luz
- 90′J. QuintanaLa Luz
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, La Luz have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Penarol have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2023 | Fenix(away) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| May 7, 2023 | Danubio(home) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Apr 29, 2023 | Club Nacional(away) | 0-3 | Primera División |
| Apr 22, 2023 | CA River Plate(home) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Apr 17, 2023 | Deportivo Maldonado(home) | 4-2 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2023 | Millonarios(away) | 1-3 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| May 13, 2023 | Wanderers(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| May 8, 2023 | Racing Montevideo(away) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| May 5, 2023 | Defensa Y Justicia(away) | 1-4 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Apr 28, 2023 | Fenix(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 La Luz win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Penarol win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2023 | La Luz 3-4 Penarol | Primera División |
| Nov 1, 2022 | La Luz 1-0 Penarol | Copa Uruguay |
| Oct 27, 2022 | Penarol 1-0 La Luz | Copa Uruguay |
How many goals should we expect?
La Luz score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Penarol score 1.4 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Luz | 1.5 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Penarol | 1.4 | 1.2 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 61 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 103 | 54 | 125 |
| 1 | Penarol | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 20 | 47 |
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 16 |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 16 | 27 |
| 7 | Penarol | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy