Lagarto vs União Carmolandense: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie D1st Phase - 1Kick-off on April 19, 2025 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Paulo Barreto de Menezes, Lagarto, Sergipe
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What was the result of Lagarto vs União Carmolandense?
Lagarto won 2-1 on April 19, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 33′?Lagarto
- 65′Lucas ZanatelliLagarto
- 78′?União Carmolandense
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lagarto have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; União Carmolandense have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2025 | Falcon(home) | 0-0 | Sergipano |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Falcon(home) | 3-0 | Sergipano |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Carmópolis(away) | 1-1 | Sergipano |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Sergipe(away) | 4-0 | Sergipano |
| Feb 8, 2025 | AO Itabaiana(home) | 0-1 | Sergipano |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | Araguaína(home) | 0-0 | Tocantinense |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Araguaína(away) | 1-1 | Tocantinense |
| Mar 26, 2025 | Tocantinópolis(away) | 0-0 | Tocantinense |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Tocantinópolis(home) | 1-0 | Tocantinense |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Bela Vista TO(away) | 0-3 | Tocantinense |
How many goals should we expect?
Lagarto score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; União Carmolandense score 1.1 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lagarto | 1.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| União Carmolandense | 1.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Lagarto | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 15 | 13 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy