Monte Azul vs Itabirito: result 0-1 and analysis
Serie D1st Phase - 1Kick-off on April 19, 2025 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Otacília Patrício Arroyo, Monte Azul Paulista, São Paulo
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What was the result of Monte Azul vs Itabirito?
Itabirito won 0-1 on April 19, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 34′RichardItabirito
Official lineup for Monte Azul vs Itabirito
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Monte Azul
- PPaulo Roberto Santos de Brito
- PPedoca
- PPedrinho
- YY. Morishige
- LLucas Black
- BBruno Duarte
- KK. Bajaña
- JJonathan
- NNetto
- PPedrinho
- ZZanella
Itabirito
- LLuan
- MMatheusinho
- RRichard
- SSérgio Antônio Borges Júnior
- GGustavo Crecci
- MMenezes
- DDaniel Fagundes
- VVictor Sallinas
- BBryan
- RRodolfo Filemon
- RRodolfo Castro
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Monte Azul have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Itabirito have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2025 | Sertãozinho(home) | 1-1 | Paulista - A3 |
| Apr 9, 2025 | Sertãozinho(away) | 1-3 | Paulista - A3 |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Rio Branco SP(home) | 2-1 | Paulista - A3 |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Rio Branco SP(away) | 1-0 | Paulista - A3 |
| Mar 26, 2025 | Itapirense(home) | 3-2 | Paulista - A3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2025 | Atletico-MG(away) | 0-3 | Mineiro - 1 |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Pouso Alegre(home) | 1-0 | Mineiro - 1 |
| Feb 5, 2025 | Villa Nova(away) | 4-1 | Mineiro - 1 |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Aymorés(home) | 0-0 | Mineiro - 1 |
| Jan 30, 2025 | Cruzeiro(home) | 1-4 | Mineiro - 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Monte Azul score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Itabirito score 1.2 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monte Azul | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Itabirito | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Monte Azul sit 6th in Serie D (14 points from 14 matches) and Itabirito sit 8th (10 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Monte Azul | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 14 |
| 8 | Itabirito | 14 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 10 |
A question about Monte Azul vs Itabirito?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy