Joinville vs Guarany de Bagé: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie D1st Phase - 1Kick-off on April 19, 2025 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Arena Joinville, Joinville, Santa Catarina
Full time
What was the result of Joinville vs Guarany de Bagé?
Joinville won 1-0 on April 19, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 25′JonathanGuarany de Bagé
- 73′KekéJoinville
Official lineup for Joinville vs Guarany de Bagé
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Joinville
- CCaion
- JJuliano
- MMarcos
- LLéo Rigo
- GGuilherme Escuro
- JJoão Mafra
- GGuti
- LLéo Campos
- DDanilo Belão
- VVitão
- BBruno Pianissolla
Guarany de Bagé
- YYan
- EEmerson
- IIgor Silva
- LLuiz Felipe
- MMurilo
- DDavid Cunha
- TTalles
- JJoão Victor
- SSaulo
- BBruno Cardoso
- JJonathan
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Joinville have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Guarany de Bagé have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2025 | Chapecoense-sc(away) | 1-2 | Catarinense - 1 |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Criciuma(away) | 0-0 | Catarinense - 1 |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Chapecoense-sc(away) | 1-1 | Catarinense - 1 |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Santa Catarina(home) | 4-3 | Catarinense - 1 |
| Feb 13, 2025 | Hercílio Luz(away) | 1-2 | Catarinense - 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2025 | Atletico Paranaense(away) | 1-3 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Feb 26, 2025 | Altos(home) | 2-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Feb 23, 2025 | São Luiz(home) | 0-2 | Gaúcho - 1 |
| Feb 21, 2025 | São Luiz(away) | 1-0 | Gaúcho - 1 |
| Feb 15, 2025 | São Luiz(home) | 0-1 | Gaúcho - 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Joinville score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Guarany de Bagé score 0.8 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joinville | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Guarany de Bagé | 0.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Joinville sit 5th in Serie D (15 points from 10 matches) and Guarany de Bagé sit 6th (4 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Joinville | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 15 |
| 6 | Guarany de Bagé | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 4 |
A question about Joinville vs Guarany de Bagé?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy