Match

Laguna de Duero vs Los Llanos: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 20Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)

Laguna de DueroLos Llanos

The Footlab model makes Laguna de Duero the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Los Llanos. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Laguna de Duero vs Los Llanos?

A very open match: only 92 Elo points separate Laguna de Duero (1,541) and Los Llanos (1,634).

Laguna de Duero win41 %
Draw29 %
Los Llanos win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Laguna de Duero have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Los Llanos have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Laguna de Duero
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2025Cultural Leonesa II(home)1-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 4, 2025Cristo Atlético(away)1-4Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 1, 2025Mirandés II(home)1-4Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 26, 2025Atlético Mansillés(away)0-5Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 20, 2025Ciudad Rodrigo(home)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Los Llanos
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 11, 2025Panadería Pulido(home)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 4, 2025Tamaraceite(away)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 26, 2025Las Palmas II(home)0-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 17, 2025Herbania(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 12, 2025San Bartolomé(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

How many goals should we expect?

Laguna de Duero score 0.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Los Llanos score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Laguna de Duero0.92.137/158/15
Los Llanos0.91.554/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Laguna de Duero vs Los Llanos?
The Footlab model makes Laguna de Duero the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Los Llanos.
Where and when is Laguna de Duero vs Los Llanos played?
Laguna de Duero vs Los Llanos is played on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Laguna de Duero and Los Llanos

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