Villa Santa Brígida vs San Miguel: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 20Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo Los Olivos, Santa Brígida
The Footlab model makes Villa Santa Brígida the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for San Miguel. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Villa Santa Brígida vs San Miguel?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Villa Santa Brígida (1,753) and San Miguel (1,739).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Villa Santa Brígida have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; San Miguel have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2026 | Telde(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 1, 2026 | Marino(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Mensajero(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Tenerife C(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | San Bartolomé(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Las Palmas III(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 3, 2026 | Panadería Pulido(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Telde(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Marino(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Mensajero(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Villa Santa Brígida win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 San Miguel win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | San Miguel 0-1 Villa Santa Brígida | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Villa Santa Brígida 2-1 San Miguel | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
Last archived meeting: San Miguel vs Villa Santa Brígida on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Villa Santa Brígida score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; San Miguel score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villa Santa Brígida | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| San Miguel | 1.2 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Villa Santa Brígida sit 8th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (50 points from 34 matches) and San Miguel sit 11th (39 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Villa Santa Brígida | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 42 | 35 | 50 |
| 11 | San Miguel | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 37 | 43 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Villa Santa Brígida vs San Miguel?
- The Footlab model makes Villa Santa Brígida the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for San Miguel.
- Where and when is Villa Santa Brígida vs San Miguel played?
- Villa Santa Brígida vs San Miguel is played on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Los Olivos, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 31, 2027MensajerovsAnaza
- Jan 31, 2027LanzarotevsVillaverde Norte
- Jan 31, 2027Unión Sur YaizavsLas Palmas III
- Jan 31, 2027EstrellavsSan Bartolomé
- Jan 31, 2027Real Unión de TenerifevsMarino
- Jan 31, 2027Laguna de DuerovsLos Llanos
- Jan 31, 2027Playas SotaventovsSan Fernando CD
- Jan 31, 2027Tenerife CvsPanadería Pulido