Estrella vs San Bartolomé: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 20Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Las Palmitas, Gran Canaria
The Footlab AI model makes Estrella the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for San Bartolomé. The most likely score is 1-1. If Estrella wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,788 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Estrella vs San Bartolomé?
A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate Estrella (1,632) and San Bartolomé (1,732).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Estrella vs San Bartolomé
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Estrella
4-3-3- AAdrián Socorro
- MMarco
- AAlejo
- KKevin Suárez
- VVictor Jesús Lorenzo Lorenzo
- FFede Manzi
- JJaime
- FFran Ramírez
- IIan Bolaños Gracia
- AAythami Artiles Oliva
- AArturo Caballero
San Bartolomé
Not enough data to predict the San Bartolomé lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 12:53 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estrella have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; San Bartolomé have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Marino(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Los Llanos(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | UD San Fernando(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Las Palmas III(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | San Bartolomé(away) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Tenerife C(home) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mensajero(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Villa Santa Brígida(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Lanzarote(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Estrella(home) | 4-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Estrella win, 0 draws, 2 San Bartolomé wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | San Bartolomé 4-2 Estrella | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 4, 2025 | San Bartolomé 1-0 Estrella | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Estrella 2-1 San Bartolomé | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
Last archived meeting: San Bartolomé vs Estrella on Sep 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Estrella score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; San Bartolomé score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estrella | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| San Bartolomé | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estrella sit 12th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (7 points from 5 matches) and San Bartolomé sit 9th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | San Bartolomé | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 9 |
| 12 | Estrella | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 7 |
A question about Estrella vs San Bartolomé?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Estrella vs San Bartolomé?
- The Footlab AI model makes Estrella the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for San Bartolomé.
- Where and when is Estrella vs San Bartolomé played?
- Estrella vs San Bartolomé is played on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Las Palmitas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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