Lancaster City vs Ilkeston Town: result 2-1 and analysis
Non League Premier - NorthernMatchday 11Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Giant Axe Stadium, Lancaster, Lancashire
Full time
What was the result of Lancaster City vs Ilkeston Town?
Lancaster City won 2-1 on October 3, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 17′574763Ilkeston Town
- 60′614536Lancaster City (pen.)
- 80′684464Lancaster City
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Lancaster City win at 50%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 2-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lancaster City have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Ilkeston Town have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | Whitby Town(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cleethorpes Town(away) | 1-5 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Bradford (Park Avenue)(away) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Curzon Ashton(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Tadcaster Albion(away) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | Rylands(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Anstey Nomads(home) | 1-3 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Workington(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Leamington(away) | 1-3 | FA Cup |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Quorn(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Lancaster City wins, 0 draws, 3 Ilkeston Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Ilkeston Town 3-0 Lancaster City | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Lancaster City 3-1 Ilkeston Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Ilkeston Town 4-0 Lancaster City | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Lancaster City 4-3 Ilkeston Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Ilkeston Town 2-3 Lancaster City | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Lancaster City 0-4 Ilkeston Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
Last archived meeting: Ilkeston Town vs Lancaster City on Jan 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lancaster City score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Ilkeston Town score 1.0 and concede 2.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lancaster City | 1.1 | 1.8 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Ilkeston Town | 1.0 | 2.1 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lancaster City sit 14th in Non League Premier - Northern (21 points from 18 matches) and Ilkeston Town sit 20th (13 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Lancaster City | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 31 | 21 |
| 20 | Ilkeston Town | 18 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 13 | 38 | 13 |
A question about Lancaster City vs Ilkeston Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy