Redcar Athletic vs Alfreton Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Green Lane, Redcar, North Yorkshire
The Footlab model makes Redcar Athletic the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Alfreton Town. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Redcar Athletic vs Alfreton Town?
Redcar Athletic starts as the favourite with a 182-point Elo edge (1,899 vs 1,717).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Redcar Athletic have 8 wins, 6 draws and 1 defeats; Alfreton Town have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | AFC Emley(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rylands(away) | 5-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Lancaster City(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Quorn(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Workington(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Hyde United(home) | 4-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stockton Town(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Cleethorpes Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Avro(home) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Gainsborough Trinity(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
How many goals should we expect?
Redcar Athletic score 1.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Alfreton Town score 1.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redcar Athletic | 1.9 | 0.8 | 7 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Alfreton Town | 1.3 | 1.8 | 3 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Redcar Athletic sit 4th in Non League Premier - Northern (12 points from 6 matches) and Alfreton Town sit 9th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Redcar Athletic | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Alfreton Town | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 6 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Redcar Athletic vs Alfreton Town?
- The Footlab model makes Redcar Athletic the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Alfreton Town.
- Where and when is Redcar Athletic vs Alfreton Town played?
- Redcar Athletic vs Alfreton Town is played on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Green Lane, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.