United of Manchester vs Whitby Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Broadhurst Park, Manchester
The Footlab model makes United of Manchester the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Whitby Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win United of Manchester vs Whitby Town?
United of Manchester starts as the favourite with a 101-point Elo edge (1,779 vs 1,678).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, United of Manchester have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Whitby Town have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Bamber Bridge(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Workington(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hyde United(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gainsborough Trinity(home) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Leek Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Cleethorpes Town(away) | 0-6 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Warrington Town(home) | 0-5 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Ashton United(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ilkeston Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Guiseley AFC(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 United of Manchester win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Whitby Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | Whitby Town 1-3 United of Manchester | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 19, 2025 | United of Manchester 3-1 Whitby Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Apr 18, 2025 | United of Manchester 2-3 Whitby Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 20, 2024 | Whitby Town 0-0 United of Manchester | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Mar 26, 2024 | Whitby Town 1-2 United of Manchester | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 23, 2023 | United of Manchester 1-1 Whitby Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
Last archived meeting: Whitby Town vs United of Manchester on Apr 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
United of Manchester score 1.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Whitby Town score 0.8 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United of Manchester | 1.0 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Whitby Town | 0.8 | 2.1 | 3 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
United of Manchester sit 22nd in Non League Premier - Northern (2 points from 6 matches) and Whitby Town sit 17th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Whitby Town | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 6 |
| 22 | United of Manchester | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for United of Manchester vs Whitby Town?
- The Footlab model makes United of Manchester the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Whitby Town.
- Where and when is United of Manchester vs Whitby Town played?
- United of Manchester vs Whitby Town is played on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Broadhurst Park, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.