Langreo vs Caudal: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 9Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Ganzábal, La Felguera, Langreo
The Footlab AI model makes Langreo the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Caudal. The most likely score is 1-1. If Langreo wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Langreo vs Caudal?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Langreo (1,804) and Caudal (1,836).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Langreo vs Caudal
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Langreo
4-3-3- 9Miguel Guerrero
- 11Omar
- 4L. Lopez
- 14A. R. Reyes
- 6L. Suarez
- 22Pablo Pérez
- 8Sergio Orviz
- 5D. Amez
- 2G. Zapico
- 15D. Ojeda
- 1A. Torre
Caudal
Not enough data to predict the Caudal lineup.
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Langreo have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Caudal have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Sporting Gijón II(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Praviano(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | L'Entregu(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Covadonga(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Ceares(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Praviano(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | L'Entregu(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Covadonga(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Ceares(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Salamanca UDS(away) | 2-3 | Copa Federacion |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Langreo win, 1 draw, 0 Caudal wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2023 | Caudal 0-2 Langreo | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 21, 2021 | Langreo 0-0 Caudal | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Langreo score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Caudal score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Langreo | 1.7 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Caudal | 1.6 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Langreo sit 8th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 (8 points from 5 matches) and Caudal sit 6th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Caudal | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 10 |
| 8 | Langreo | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 8 |
A question about Langreo vs Caudal?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Langreo vs Caudal?
- The Footlab AI model makes Langreo the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Caudal.
- Where and when is Langreo vs Caudal played?
- Langreo vs Caudal is played on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Ganzábal, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.