Lanus vs Argentinos JRS: prediction and stats
Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 6Kick-off on August 25, 2026 at 12:15 AM (UTC)Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez, Lanús, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Argentinos JRS the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for Lanus. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lanus vs Argentinos JRS?
Argentinos JRS starts as the favourite with a 111-point Elo edge (1,972 vs 1,862).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lanus have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Argentinos JRS have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Independiente(home) | 1-3 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Talleres Cordoba(away) | 3-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Union Santa Fe(away) | 1-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Instituto Cordoba(home) | 0-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Cienciano(away) | 0-4 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | River Plate(away) | 0-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Racing Club(home) | 2-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Belgrano Cordoba(away) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto(home) | 3-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Sarmiento Junin(away) | 3-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Lanus win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Argentinos JRS win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Argentinos JRS 2-0 Lanus | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Argentinos JRS 2-1 Lanus | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Sep 9, 2025 | Argentinos JRS 1-0 Lanus | Copa Argentina |
| Jul 30, 2024 | Argentinos JRS 2-0 Lanus | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Mar 21, 2023 | Lanus 0-0 Argentinos JRS | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Oct 6, 2022 | Lanus 0-4 Argentinos JRS | Liga Profesional Argentina |
Last archived meeting: Argentinos JRS vs Lanus on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lanus score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Argentinos JRS score 1.6 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lanus | 0.7 | 1.3 | 7 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
| Argentinos JRS | 1.6 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lanus sit 6th in Liga Profesional Argentina (24 points from 16 matches) and Argentinos JRS sit 3rd (29 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentinos JRS | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 12 |
| 3 | Argentinos JRS | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 29 |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 24 |
| 11 | Lanus | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lanus vs Argentinos JRS?
- The Footlab model makes Argentinos JRS the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for Lanus.
- Where and when is Lanus vs Argentinos JRS played?
- Lanus vs Argentinos JRS is played on August 25, 2026 at 12:15 AM (UTC) at Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez, in the Liga Profesional Argentina.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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