Laredo vs Sámano: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 9Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo San Lorenzo, Laredo
The Footlab AI model makes Laredo the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Sámano. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Laredo vs Sámano?
Laredo starts as the favourite with a 214-point Elo edge (1,853 vs 1,639).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Laredo vs Sámano
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Laredo
Not enough data to predict the Laredo lineup.
Sámano
4-3-3- 9A. Castillo Marcilla
- 11A. Berzosa
- 23J. Ibanez
- 6D. Aguirre
- 10A. Lambea
- 14M. Gilete
- 2A. Abad
- 22L. Gomez
- 4J. Lopez
- LLuis Gómez
- 1G. Masach
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 02:38 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Laredo have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Sámano have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Vimenor(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Barquereño(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Naval Reinosa(away) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Escobedo(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Atlético Albericia(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Velarde(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Atlético Mineros(away) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Cayón(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Guarnizo(home) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Vimenor(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Laredo wins, 0 draws, 2 Sámano wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2025 | Sámano 2-0 Laredo | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Sámano 1-0 Laredo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Laredo 2-1 Sámano | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Feb 8, 2020 | Sámano 1-3 Laredo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 14, 2019 | Laredo 3-0 Sámano | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Laredo score 1.4 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Sámano score 1.3 and concede 2.6. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laredo | 1.4 | 0.7 | 8 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Sámano | 1.3 | 2.6 | 2 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Laredo sit 3rd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 (15 points from 6 matches) and Sámano sit 4th (11 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Laredo | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 2 | 15 |
| 4 | Sámano | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 11 |
A question about Laredo vs Sámano?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Laredo vs Sámano?
- The Footlab AI model makes Laredo the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Sámano.
- Where and when is Laredo vs Sámano played?
- Laredo vs Sámano is played on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo San Lorenzo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.