Bezana vs Velarde: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 9Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo De Fútbol Municipal De Bezana, Santa Cruz de Bezana
The Footlab AI model makes Bezana the favourite at 66%, against 22% for a draw and 12% for Velarde. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,449 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bezana vs Velarde?
Bezana starts as the favourite with a 235-point Elo edge (1,815 vs 1,581).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bezana vs Velarde
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bezana
Not enough data to predict the Bezana lineup.
Velarde
4-3-3- JJaime Fernández
- BBorja Menaut
- ÃÃlvaro Alonso
- JJorge Gómez
- MManuel Cuesta
- JJuan González - Madroño Lostal
- MMiki Palleiro
- OOjembarrena
- DDiego Guemes
- NNicolás Sainz
- MMarcos Parada
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 05:06 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bezana have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Velarde have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Guarnizo(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Vimenor(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Barquereño(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Naval Reinosa(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Escobedo(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sámano(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cayón(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Guarnizo(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Vimenor(home) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Barquereño(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Bezana wins, 0 draws, 0 Velarde wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2024 | Velarde 2-3 Bezana | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Nov 18, 2023 | Bezana 2-0 Velarde | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Bezana score 2.0 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Velarde score 0.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bezana | 2.0 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Velarde | 0.6 | 1.9 | 5 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bezana sit 2nd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 (16 points from 6 matches) and Velarde sit 16th (4 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bezana | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 16 |
| 16 | Velarde | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 4 |
A question about Bezana vs Velarde?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bezana vs Velarde?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bezana the favourite at 66%, against 22% for a draw and 12% for Velarde.
- Where and when is Bezana vs Velarde played?
- Bezana vs Velarde is played on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo De Fútbol Municipal De Bezana, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.