Larne vs Coleraine FC: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Inver Park, Larne
The Footlab model makes Coleraine FC the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Larne. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Larne vs Coleraine FC?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Larne (1,746) and Coleraine FC (1,756).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Larne have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Coleraine FC have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Lincoln Red Imps FC(away) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Coleraine FC(away) | 0-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Saburtalo(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Saburtalo(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | FK Crvena Zvezda(away) | 0-5 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Carrick Rangers(away) | 2-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Larne(home) | 0-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dungannon Swifts(away) | 3-1 | Premiership |
| Jul 30, 2026 | HJK Helsinki(home) | 0-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | HJK Helsinki(away) | 0-5 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Larne win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Coleraine FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Coleraine FC 0-0 Larne | Premiership |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Larne 1-4 Coleraine FC | Premiership |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Coleraine FC 2-1 Larne | Irish Cup |
| Jan 2, 2026 | Larne 3-0 Coleraine FC | Premiership |
| Nov 25, 2025 | Coleraine FC 1-2 Larne | Premiership |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Coleraine FC 1-0 Larne | Premiership |
Last archived meeting: Coleraine FC vs Larne on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Larne score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Coleraine FC score 2.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Larne | 1.3 | 1.2 | 9 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Coleraine FC | 2.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Larne sit 9th in Premiership (1 points from 1 matches) and Coleraine FC sit 1st (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coleraine FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 | Larne | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Larne vs Coleraine FC?
- The Footlab model makes Coleraine FC the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Larne.
- Where and when is Larne vs Coleraine FC played?
- Larne vs Coleraine FC is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Inver Park, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.