Bangor vs Dungannon Swifts: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Bangor Fuels Arena, Bangor
The Footlab model makes Dungannon Swifts the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Bangor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bangor vs Dungannon Swifts?
Dungannon Swifts starts as the favourite with a 138-point Elo edge (1,541 vs 1,403).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bangor have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Dungannon Swifts have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dungannon Swifts(away) | 0-2 | Premiership |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cliftonville FC(home) | 0-3 | Premiership |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Dergview(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Ballinamallard United(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Newry City AFC(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bangor(home) | 2-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Portadown(away) | 1-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Coleraine FC(home) | 1-3 | Premiership |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Moyola Park(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | H&W Welders(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Bangor win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Dungannon Swifts win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dungannon Swifts 2-0 Bangor | Premiership |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Dungannon Swifts 0-1 Bangor | Premiership |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Dungannon Swifts 1-0 Bangor | Premiership |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Bangor 2-1 Dungannon Swifts | Premiership |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Bangor 0-2 Dungannon Swifts | Irish Cup |
Last archived meeting: Dungannon Swifts vs Bangor on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bangor score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Dungannon Swifts score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bangor | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Dungannon Swifts | 2.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bangor sit 12th in Premiership (0 points from 2 matches) and Dungannon Swifts sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Dungannon Swifts | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 12 | Bangor | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bangor vs Dungannon Swifts?
- The Footlab model makes Dungannon Swifts the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Bangor.
- Where and when is Bangor vs Dungannon Swifts played?
- Bangor vs Dungannon Swifts is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Bangor Fuels Arena, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.