Lask Linz vs Red Bull Salzburg: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Raiffeisen Arena, Linz
The Footlab model makes Lask Linz the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Red Bull Salzburg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lask Linz vs Red Bull Salzburg?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Lask Linz (2,154) and Red Bull Salzburg (2,092).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lask Linz have 11 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats; Red Bull Salzburg have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Celtic(home) | 5-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Celtic(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Ried(home) | 4-1 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Austria Vienna(away) | 2-0 | Bundesliga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Grazer AK(home) | 3-0 | Bundesliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Mjallby AIF(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | WSG Wattens(away) | 3-0 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Pafos(away) | 3-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Wolfsberger AC(away) | 1-1 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Pafos(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Lask Linz win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Red Bull Salzburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Lask Linz 2-1 Red Bull Salzburg | Bundesliga |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Red Bull Salzburg 2-3 Lask Linz | Bundesliga |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Lask Linz 1-5 Red Bull Salzburg | Bundesliga |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Red Bull Salzburg 3-0 Lask Linz | Bundesliga |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Lask Linz 2-1 Red Bull Salzburg | Cup |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Red Bull Salzburg 1-2 Lask Linz | Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Lask Linz vs Red Bull Salzburg on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lask Linz score 2.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Red Bull Salzburg score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lask Linz | 2.7 | 1.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
| Red Bull Salzburg | 1.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lask Linz sit 2nd in Bundesliga (9 points from 3 matches) and Red Bull Salzburg sit 4th (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lask Linz | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 9 |
| 4 | Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lask Linz vs Red Bull Salzburg?
- The Footlab model makes Lask Linz the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Red Bull Salzburg.
- Where and when is Lask Linz vs Red Bull Salzburg played?
- Lask Linz vs Red Bull Salzburg is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Raiffeisen Arena, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.