Rapid Vienna vs Austria Lustenau: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Allianz Stadion, Wien
The Footlab model makes Rapid Vienna the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Austria Lustenau. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rapid Vienna vs Austria Lustenau?
Rapid Vienna starts as the favourite with a 179-point Elo edge (2,022 vs 1,842).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rapid Vienna have 12 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats; Austria Lustenau have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Heart Of Midlothian(away) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Grazer AK(home) | 8-0 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Paide(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Ried(away) | 2-1 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Paide(away) | 4-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sturm Graz(away) | 1-1 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wolfsberger AC(home) | 2-1 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Grazer AK(away) | 1-2 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Ried(home) | 1-1 | Bundesliga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Krems / Rehberg(away) | 1-0 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Rapid Vienna win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Austria Lustenau win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2024 | Rapid Vienna 1-1 Austria Lustenau | Bundesliga |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Austria Lustenau 0-5 Rapid Vienna | Bundesliga |
| Oct 29, 2022 | Austria Lustenau 3-3 Rapid Vienna | Bundesliga |
| Aug 7, 2022 | Rapid Vienna 1-1 Austria Lustenau | Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Rapid Vienna vs Austria Lustenau on Mar 3, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Rapid Vienna score 3.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Austria Lustenau score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rapid Vienna | 3.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Austria Lustenau | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rapid Vienna sit 1st in Bundesliga (9 points from 3 matches) and Austria Lustenau sit 5th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rapid Vienna | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 9 |
| 5 | Austria Lustenau | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rapid Vienna vs Austria Lustenau?
- The Footlab model makes Rapid Vienna the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Austria Lustenau.
- Where and when is Rapid Vienna vs Austria Lustenau played?
- Rapid Vienna vs Austria Lustenau is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Allianz Stadion, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.