Latina vs Spezia: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone BGirone B - 30Kick-off on March 3, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Domenico Francioni, Latina
The Footlab AI model makes Spezia the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Latina. The most likely score is 1-1. If Spezia wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,805 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Latina vs Spezia?
Spezia starts as the favourite with a 115-point Elo edge (1,937 vs 1,822).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Latina vs Spezia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Latina
3-5-2- 7J. Báez
- 70G. Tomaselli
- 27Sonny D'Angelo
- 30R. De Ciancio
- 4A. De Cristofaro
- 8G. Castorri
- 36J. Lipani
- 2E. Ercolano
- 13F. Marenco
- 16C. Sussi
- 67D. Mastrantonio
Spezia
4-2-3-1- 9S. Mazzocchi
- 70K. Bright
- 14G. Capomaggio
- 24C. Limonelli
- 10K. Jimenez
- 8A. Florenzi
- 13M. Å apola
- 6R. Sganzerla
- 37A. Matějů
- 72S. Capolupo
- 1A. Micai
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 04:54 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Latina have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Spezia have 11, 4 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Vis Pesaro(home) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Atalanta II(home) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sambenedettese(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ostia Mare(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Reggiana(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Ravenna(away) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Gubbio(home) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Reggiana(away) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Pescara(away) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Vis Pesaro(home) | 3-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Latina wins, 1 draw, 1 Spezia win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2017 | Spezia 3-2 Latina | Serie B |
| Sep 4, 2016 | Latina 0-0 Spezia | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Latina score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Spezia score 1.9 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Latina | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
| Spezia | 1.9 | 0.6 | 7 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Latina sit 10th in Serie C - Girone B (13 points from 10 matches) and Spezia sit 1st (28 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spezia | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
| 10 | Latina | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 13 |
A question about Latina vs Spezia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Latina vs Spezia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Spezia the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Latina.
- Where and when is Latina vs Spezia played?
- Latina vs Spezia is played on March 3, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Domenico Francioni, in the Serie C - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.