Pianese vs Forli: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone BGirone B - 30Kick-off on March 3, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale, Piancastagnaio
The Footlab model makes Pianese the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Forli. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pianese vs Forli?
A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Pianese (1,819) and Forli (1,782).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pianese have 3 wins, 9 draws and 3 defeats; Forli have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Campobasso FC(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Athletic Carpi(away) | 2-3 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| May 13, 2026 | Lecco(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 10, 2026 | Lecco(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 6, 2026 | Juventus U23(away) | 2-0 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sambenedettese(away) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Juventus U23(away) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cesena(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Tre Fiori(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Perugia(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Pianese win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Forli win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | Forli 0-0 Pianese | Serie C - Girone B |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Pianese 3-2 Forli | Serie C - Girone B |
How many goals should we expect?
Pianese score 1.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Forli score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pianese | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 3/15 |
| Forli | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pianese sit 18th in Serie C - Girone B (0 points from 1 matches) and Forli sit 8th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Forli | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 18 | Pianese | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pianese vs Forli?
- The Footlab model makes Pianese the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Forli.
- Where and when is Pianese vs Forli played?
- Pianese vs Forli is played on March 3, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale, in the Serie C - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.