Gubbio vs Pineto: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone BGirone B - 30Kick-off on March 3, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Pietro Barbetti, Gubbio
The Footlab AI model makes Gubbio the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Pineto. The most likely score is 1-1. If Gubbio wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,401 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gubbio vs Pineto?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Gubbio (1,708) and Pineto (1,693).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gubbio vs Pineto
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gubbio
4-3-3- 10A. La Mantia
- 7M. Spina
- 92E. Baldini
- 8G. Rosaia
- 47G. Di Noia
- 67F. Carraro
- 27L. Podda
- 4L. Baroncelli
- 34F. Zallu
- 6O. Barry
- 1N. Bagnolini
Pineto
3-4-2-1- 9G. Vigliotti
- 21L. Lombardi
- 8G. Germinario
- 99A. Pellegrino
- 15D. Ferrante
- 4G. Nebuloso
- 7G. Guadagni
- 52D. Frare
- 3Simone Ienco
- 13G. Alessandretti
- 22A. Tonti
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 04:35 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gubbio have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Pineto have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Spezia(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Perugia(home) | 1-3 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Ravenna(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ostia Mare(home) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Pescara(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Guidonia Montecelio 1937(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Grosseto(home) | 0-4 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Campobasso FC(away) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Forli(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Sambenedettese(home) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Gubbio wins, 0 draws, 2 Pineto wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Pineto 1-2 Gubbio | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| May 3, 2026 | Pineto 2-1 Gubbio | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Gubbio 2-0 Pineto | Serie C - Girone B |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Pineto 1-0 Gubbio | Serie C - Girone B |
| Feb 14, 2025 | Gubbio 2-1 Pineto | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Pineto 1-2 Gubbio | Serie C - Girone B |
How many goals should we expect?
Gubbio score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Pineto score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gubbio | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Pineto | 0.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gubbio sit 18th in Serie C - Girone B (7 points from 9 matches) and Pineto sit 17th (7 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pineto | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 7 |
| 18 | Gubbio | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 7 |
A question about Gubbio vs Pineto?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gubbio vs Pineto?
- The Footlab AI model makes Gubbio the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Pineto.
- Where and when is Gubbio vs Pineto played?
- Gubbio vs Pineto is played on March 3, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Pietro Barbetti, in the Serie C - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.