Latte Dolce vs Sarrabus Ogliastra: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone GGroup G - 6Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Latte Dolce, Sassari
The Footlab model makes Latte Dolce the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Sarrabus Ogliastra. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Latte Dolce vs Sarrabus Ogliastra?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Latte Dolce (1,666) and Sarrabus Ogliastra (1,653).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Latte Dolce have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Sarrabus Ogliastra have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Torres(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Budoni(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Cassino(home) | 4-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Montespaccato(away) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 12, 2026 | USD Palmese(home) | 4-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Olbia(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Valmontone(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Real Monterotondo(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Budoni(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Cassino(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Latte Dolce win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Sarrabus Ogliastra win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 | Latte Dolce 1-0 Sarrabus Ogliastra | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Sarrabus Ogliastra 0-0 Latte Dolce | Serie D - Girone G |
| Jan 5, 2025 | Latte Dolce 2-0 Sarrabus Ogliastra | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Sarrabus Ogliastra 2-2 Latte Dolce | Serie D - Girone G |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Sarrabus Ogliastra 1-0 Latte Dolce | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Jan 14, 2024 | Sarrabus Ogliastra 1-1 Latte Dolce | Serie D - Girone G |
Last archived meeting: Latte Dolce vs Sarrabus Ogliastra on Jan 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Latte Dolce score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Sarrabus Ogliastra score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Latte Dolce | 1.4 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Sarrabus Ogliastra | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Latte Dolce sit 6th in Serie D - Girone G (48 points from 34 matches) and Sarrabus Ogliastra sit 9th (46 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Latte Dolce | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 49 | 49 | 48 |
| 9 | Sarrabus Ogliastra | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47 | 51 | 46 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Latte Dolce vs Sarrabus Ogliastra?
- The Footlab model makes Latte Dolce the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Sarrabus Ogliastra.
- Where and when is Latte Dolce vs Sarrabus Ogliastra played?
- Latte Dolce vs Sarrabus Ogliastra is played on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Latte Dolce, in the Serie D - Girone G.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.