Laval vs Guingamp: prediction and stats
Ligue 2Regular Season - 17Kick-off on January 15, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stade Francis Le Basser, Laval
The Footlab model makes Laval the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Guingamp. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Laval vs Guingamp?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Laval (1,825) and Guingamp (1,784).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Laval have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Guingamp have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Metz(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Nantes(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rodez(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 2 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Le Havre(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Granville(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Sochaux(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Boulogne(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Metz(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Stade Brestois 29(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Lorient(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Laval win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Guingamp win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | Laval 2-2 Guingamp | Ligue 2 |
| Dec 19, 2025 | Guingamp 0-1 Laval | Coupe de France |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Guingamp 2-0 Laval | Ligue 2 |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Guingamp 2-0 Laval | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 23, 2024 | Laval 0-1 Guingamp | Ligue 2 |
| May 17, 2024 | Guingamp 0-1 Laval | Ligue 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Laval score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Guingamp score 0.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laval | 1.6 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Guingamp | 0.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Laval sit 9th in Ligue 2 (4 points from 3 matches) and Guingamp sit 11th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Laval | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Laval vs Guingamp?
- The Footlab model makes Laval the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Guingamp.
- Where and when is Laval vs Guingamp played?
- Laval vs Guingamp is played on January 15, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Francis Le Basser, in the Ligue 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.