Montpellier vs Clermont Foot: prediction and stats
Ligue 2Regular Season - 17Kick-off on January 15, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stade de la Mosson-Mondial 98, Montpellier
The Footlab AI model makes Montpellier the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Clermont Foot. The most likely score is 1-1. If Montpellier wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,576 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Montpellier vs Clermont Foot?
Montpellier starts as the favourite with a 137-point Elo edge (1,959 vs 1,822).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Montpellier vs Clermont Foot
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Montpellier
4-2-3-1- 11M. Camara
- 18N. Pays
- 19N. Mukiele
- 5F. Tardieu
- 44T. Chennahi
- 40N. Vidal-Cartoux
- 15J. Laporte
- 17T. Sainte-Luce
- 27D. Meddah
- 58A. Sissoko
- 31S. Ngapandouetnbu
Clermont Foot
4-1-4-1- 90C. Okou
- 7F. Bianchini
- 26R. Kouamé
- 6E. Koné
- 77E. Cantero
- 5J. Grillot
- 21Y. Salmier
- 93I. Coulibaly
- 4E. Kabeya
- 28I. M'Bahia
- 30T. Guivarch
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 03:16 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montpellier have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Clermont Foot have 2, 9 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Grenoble(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Reims(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | PAU(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Saint Etienne(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Boulogne(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Laval(away) | 3-3 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | RED Star FC 93(home) | 2-3 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Auxerre(away) | 3-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Grenoble(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Boulogne(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Montpellier win, 4 draws, 1 Clermont Foot win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Clermont Foot 0-1 Montpellier | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 2, 2026 | Montpellier 1-2 Clermont Foot | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 28, 2025 | Clermont Foot 1-1 Montpellier | Ligue 2 |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Clermont Foot 1-1 Montpellier | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 29, 2023 | Montpellier 1-1 Clermont Foot | Ligue 1 |
| Jul 26, 2023 | Clermont Foot 1-1 Montpellier | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Clermont Foot vs Montpellier on Jul 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Montpellier score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Clermont Foot score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montpellier | 1.7 | 1.1 | 7 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Clermont Foot | 1.2 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Montpellier sit 5th in Ligue 2 (15 points from 8 matches) and Clermont Foot sit 16th (7 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Montpellier | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 15 |
| 16 | Clermont Foot | 9 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 7 |
A question about Montpellier vs Clermont Foot?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Montpellier vs Clermont Foot?
- The Footlab AI model makes Montpellier the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Clermont Foot.
- Where and when is Montpellier vs Clermont Foot played?
- Montpellier vs Clermont Foot is played on January 15, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de la Mosson-Mondial 98, in the Ligue 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.