Saint Etienne vs Boulogne: prediction and stats
Ligue 2Regular Season - 17Kick-off on January 15, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, Saint-Ètienne
The Footlab AI model makes Saint Etienne the favourite at 68%, against 20% for a draw and 12% for Boulogne. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Saint Etienne vs Boulogne?
Saint Etienne starts as the favourite with a 179-point Elo edge (1,984 vs 1,804).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Saint Etienne vs Boulogne
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Saint Etienne
4-2-3-1- 7I. Cardona
- 6M. Bernauer
- 8T. Ballo
- 14Á. Csongvai
- 20A. Boakye
- 10J. Breum
- 18S. Nair
- 23K. Pedro
- 11B. Old
- 13João Ferreira
- 30G. Larsonneur
Boulogne
3-4-3- 10A. Hbouch
- 12J. Boyer
- 17B. Besic
- 14J. Bultel
- 19N. Binet
- 8J. Martin
- 11N. Fatar
- 18D. Thiam
- 25A. Kerriou
- 15A. Pinot
- 99Blondy Rudolph Nna Noukeu
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 07:56 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Saint Etienne have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Boulogne have 2, 7 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Rodez(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | FC Sion(home) | 5-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Metz(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Dunkerque(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Montpellier(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Sochaux(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Le Havre(away) | 1-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Nantes(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Clermont Foot(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Dijon(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Saint Etienne win, 1 draw, 1 Boulogne win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Saint Etienne 0-1 Boulogne | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Boulogne 0-1 Saint Etienne | Ligue 2 |
| Mar 3, 2015 | Boulogne 2-2 Saint Etienne | Coupe de France |
Last archived meeting: Saint Etienne vs Boulogne on Jan 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Saint Etienne score 2.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Boulogne score 0.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Etienne | 2.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Boulogne | 0.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Saint Etienne sit 1st in Ligue 2 (19 points from 8 matches) and Boulogne sit 16th (6 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saint Etienne | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 19 |
| 16 | Boulogne | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
A question about Saint Etienne vs Boulogne?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Saint Etienne vs Boulogne?
- The Footlab AI model makes Saint Etienne the favourite at 68%, against 20% for a draw and 12% for Boulogne.
- Where and when is Saint Etienne vs Boulogne played?
- Saint Etienne vs Boulogne is played on January 15, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, in the Ligue 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.