Lazio vs Juventus: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 28Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Olimpico, Roma
The Footlab AI model makes Juventus the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Lazio. The most likely score is 1-1. If Juventus wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,577 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lazio vs Juventus?
A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Lazio (2,094) and Juventus (2,163).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lazio vs Juventus
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lazio
4-3-3- 10M. Zaccagni
- 14T. Noslin
- 11G. Isaksen
- 21R. Belahyane
- 24K. Taylor
- 16D. Frattesi
- 15R. Floriani Mussolini
- 25O. Provstgaard
- 5D. Doekhi
- 17Nuno Tavares
- 35C. Mandas
Juventus
4-2-3-1- 9R. Kolo Muani
- 22W. McKennie
- 7Francisco Conceição
- 12Douglas Luiz
- 31N. González
- 29P. Sarr
- 15P. Kalulu
- 3Bremer
- 2Z. Çelik
- 26J. Lucumí
- 25G. Vicario
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 07:21 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lazio have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat; Juventus have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Monza(home) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Juve Stabia(home) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Arezzo(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Venezia(away) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 12, 2026 | AC Milan(home) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Celta Vigo(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Cagliari(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Cremonese(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Atalanta(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 17, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(home) | 5-0 | UEFA Europa League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Lazio wins, 2 draws, 2 Juventus wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2026 | Juventus 2-2 Lazio | Serie A |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Lazio 1-0 Juventus | Serie A |
| May 10, 2025 | Lazio 1-1 Juventus | Serie A |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Juventus 1-0 Lazio | Serie A |
| Apr 23, 2024 | Lazio 2-1 Juventus | Coppa Italia |
| Apr 2, 2024 | Juventus 2-0 Lazio | Coppa Italia |
How many goals should we expect?
Lazio score 2.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Juventus score 1.5 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio | 2.5 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Juventus | 1.5 | 0.6 | 9 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lazio sit 2nd in Serie A (16 points from 6 matches) and Juventus sit 7th (11 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lazio | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 16 |
| 7 | Juventus | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 11 |
A question about Lazio vs Juventus?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lazio vs Juventus?
- The Footlab AI model makes Juventus the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Lazio.
- Where and when is Lazio vs Juventus played?
- Lazio vs Juventus is played on March 14, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Olimpico, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.