Match

AC Milan vs Sassuolo: prediction and stats

Serie ARegular Season - 28Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano

AC MilanSassuolo

The Footlab AI model makes AC Milan the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Sassuolo. The most likely score is 1-1. If AC Milan wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,761 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win AC Milan vs Sassuolo?

AC Milan starts as the favourite with a 175-point Elo edge (2,168 vs 1,992).

55%24%21%
AC Milan winDrawSassuolo win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for AC Milan vs Sassuolo

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

AC Milan

3-4-3
  1. 12A. Rabiot
  2. 9Gonçalo Ramos
  3. 11C. Pulišić
  1. 21S. Chukwueze
  2. 80Y. Musah
  3. 22Diego Moreira
  4. 14L. Modrić
  1. 31S. Pavlović
  2. 34Mario Gila
  3. 5K. De Winter
  1. 16M. Maignan

Sassuolo

4-2-3-1
  1. 94S. Esposito
  1. 18N. Matić
  2. 45A. Laurienté
  3. 10D. Berardi
  4. 50D. Bakola
  5. 42K. Thorstvedt
  1. 3J. Doig
  2. 15D. Ćaleta-Car
  3. 20I. Van der Brempt
  4. 16F. Leysen
  1. 49A. Murić

Computed on October 18, 2026 at 10:42 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AC Milan have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Sassuolo have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

AC Milan
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Atalanta(home)3-2Serie A
Oct 15, 2026Red Bull Salzburg(away)4-0UEFA Europa League
Oct 11, 2026Sassuolo(away)1-1Serie A
Sep 20, 2026Lecce(home)3-0Serie A
Sep 16, 2026Benfica(home)0-2UEFA Europa League
Sassuolo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 16, 2026Frosinone(away)2-4Serie A
Oct 11, 2026AC Milan(home)1-1Serie A
Sep 18, 2026Monza(away)1-2Serie A
Sep 13, 2026Juventus(home)3-2Serie A
Sep 6, 2026Bologna(away)2-2Serie A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 AC Milan wins, 3 draws, 1 Sassuolo win.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Sassuolo 1-1 AC MilanSerie A
May 3, 2026Sassuolo 2-0 AC MilanSerie A
Dec 14, 2025AC Milan 2-2 SassuoloSerie A
Dec 3, 2024AC Milan 6-1 SassuoloCoppa Italia
Apr 14, 2024Sassuolo 3-3 AC MilanSerie A
Dec 30, 2023AC Milan 1-0 SassuoloSerie A

Last archived meeting: Sassuolo vs AC Milan on Oct 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

AC Milan score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sassuolo score 1.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
AC Milan1.91.3310/1510/15
Sassuolo1.71.8212/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

AC Milan sit 4th in Serie A (15 points from 7 matches) and Sassuolo sit 12th (8 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4AC Milan743014715
12Sassuolo722312148

A question about AC Milan vs Sassuolo?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for AC Milan vs Sassuolo?
The Footlab AI model makes AC Milan the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Sassuolo.
Where and when is AC Milan vs Sassuolo played?
AC Milan vs Sassuolo is played on March 14, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, in the Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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