LD Alajuelense vs CS Cartagines: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónApertura - 17Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto, Alajuela
The Footlab model makes LD Alajuelense the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for CS Cartagines. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win LD Alajuelense vs CS Cartagines?
A very open match: only 74 Elo points separate LD Alajuelense (1,841) and CS Cartagines (1,767).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, LD Alajuelense have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; CS Cartagines have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | San Carlos(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Firpo(away) | 0-1 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Puntarenas FC(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 10, 2026 | CS Herediano(away) | 3-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Diriangén(away) | 3-1 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Escorpiones Belén(away) | 4-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Verdes(home) | 4-0 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Deportivo Saprissa(away) | 2-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 13, 2026 | CD Motagua(away) | 1-1 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sporting San Jose(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 LD Alajuelense win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 CS Cartagines win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | LD Alajuelense 2-0 CS Cartagines | Primera División |
| Jan 22, 2026 | CS Cartagines 1-0 LD Alajuelense | Primera División |
| Nov 30, 2025 | CS Cartagines 0-2 LD Alajuelense | Primera División |
| Nov 21, 2025 | LD Alajuelense 0-0 CS Cartagines | Primera División |
| Mar 16, 2025 | CS Cartagines 1-1 LD Alajuelense | Primera División |
| Feb 3, 2025 | LD Alajuelense 1-0 CS Cartagines | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: LD Alajuelense vs CS Cartagines on Mar 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
LD Alajuelense score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; CS Cartagines score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LD Alajuelense | 1.5 | 1.0 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| CS Cartagines | 1.9 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
LD Alajuelense sit 2nd in Primera División (10 points from 5 matches) and CS Cartagines sit 4th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | LD Alajuelense | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | CS Cartagines | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for LD Alajuelense vs CS Cartagines?
- The Footlab model makes LD Alajuelense the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for CS Cartagines.
- Where and when is LD Alajuelense vs CS Cartagines played?
- LD Alajuelense vs CS Cartagines is played on November 22, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.