Municipal Liberia vs San Carlos: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónApertura - 17Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Edgardo Baltodano Briceño, Liberia
The Footlab model makes Municipal Liberia the favourite at 55%, against 27% for a draw and 17% for San Carlos. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Municipal Liberia vs San Carlos?
Municipal Liberia starts as the favourite with a 150-point Elo edge (1,761 vs 1,611).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Municipal Liberia have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; San Carlos have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Deportivo Saprissa(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| May 3, 2026 | Deportivo Saprissa(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Apr 26, 2026 | LD Alajuelense(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Sporting San Jose(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Apr 18, 2026 | CS Cartagines(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | LD Alajuelense(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 15, 2026 | CS Herediano(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Inter San Carlos(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Deportivo Saprissa(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Perez Zeledon(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Municipal Liberia win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 San Carlos win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2026 | Municipal Liberia 5-1 San Carlos | Primera División |
| Jan 29, 2026 | San Carlos 1-0 Municipal Liberia | Primera División |
| Sep 22, 2025 | Municipal Liberia 1-0 San Carlos | Primera División |
| Aug 10, 2025 | San Carlos 0-2 Municipal Liberia | Primera División |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Municipal Liberia 0-1 San Carlos | Primera División |
| Mar 1, 2025 | San Carlos 1-0 Municipal Liberia | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Municipal Liberia vs San Carlos on Apr 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Municipal Liberia score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; San Carlos score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Municipal Liberia | 1.4 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| San Carlos | 0.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | San Carlos | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Municipal Liberia vs San Carlos?
- The Footlab model makes Municipal Liberia the favourite at 55%, against 27% for a draw and 17% for San Carlos.
- Where and when is Municipal Liberia vs San Carlos played?
- Municipal Liberia vs San Carlos is played on November 22, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Edgardo Baltodano Briceño, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.