LD Alajuelense vs Deportivo Saprissa: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónApertura - 7Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto, Alajuela
The Footlab model makes LD Alajuelense the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Deportivo Saprissa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win LD Alajuelense vs Deportivo Saprissa?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate LD Alajuelense (1,860) and Deportivo Saprissa (1,892).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, LD Alajuelense have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Deportivo Saprissa have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Firpo(away) | 0-1 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Puntarenas FC(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 10, 2026 | CS Herediano(away) | 3-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Diriangén(away) | 3-1 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Escorpiones Belén(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | CS Cartagines(home) | 3-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Mixco(home) | 3-0 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Puntarenas FC(away) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Alianza FC(home) | 2-1 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 2, 2026 | San Carlos(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 LD Alajuelense win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Deportivo Saprissa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | LD Alajuelense 1-1 Deportivo Saprissa | Primera División |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Deportivo Saprissa 2-1 LD Alajuelense | Primera División |
| Dec 21, 2025 | LD Alajuelense 3-1 Deportivo Saprissa | Primera División |
| Dec 18, 2025 | Deportivo Saprissa 2-2 LD Alajuelense | Primera División |
| Oct 20, 2025 | LD Alajuelense 2-0 Deportivo Saprissa | Primera División |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Deportivo Saprissa 0-1 LD Alajuelense | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: LD Alajuelense vs Deportivo Saprissa on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
LD Alajuelense score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Deportivo Saprissa score 2.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LD Alajuelense | 1.6 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Deportivo Saprissa | 2.2 | 0.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
LD Alajuelense sit 2nd in Primera División (10 points from 4 matches) and Deportivo Saprissa sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Saprissa | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | LD Alajuelense | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for LD Alajuelense vs Deportivo Saprissa?
- The Footlab model makes LD Alajuelense the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Deportivo Saprissa.
- Where and when is LD Alajuelense vs Deportivo Saprissa played?
- LD Alajuelense vs Deportivo Saprissa is played on September 6, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.