LD Alajuelense vs Plaza Amador: prediction and stats
CONCACAF Central American CupGroup StageKick-off on August 27, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC)Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto, Alajuela
The Footlab model makes LD Alajuelense the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Plaza Amador. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win LD Alajuelense vs Plaza Amador?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate LD Alajuelense (1,858) and Plaza Amador (1,794).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, LD Alajuelense have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Plaza Amador have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | San Carlos(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Firpo(away) | 0-1 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Puntarenas FC(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 10, 2026 | CS Herediano(away) | 3-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Diriangén(away) | 3-1 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | UMECIT(home) | 3-0 | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Alianza FC(away) | 4-2 | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Xelajú(home) | 5-2 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tauro FC(home) | 3-2 | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Firpo(home) | 2-1 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 LD Alajuelense win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Plaza Amador win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2025 | LD Alajuelense 1-2 Plaza Amador | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
Last archived meeting: LD Alajuelense vs Plaza Amador on Aug 1, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
LD Alajuelense score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Plaza Amador score 2.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LD Alajuelense | 1.5 | 1.0 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Plaza Amador | 2.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for LD Alajuelense vs Plaza Amador?
- The Footlab model makes LD Alajuelense the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Plaza Amador.
- Where and when is LD Alajuelense vs Plaza Amador played?
- LD Alajuelense vs Plaza Amador is played on August 27, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC) at Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto, in the CONCACAF Central American Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.