San Francisco FC vs Plaza Amador: prediction and stats
Liga Panameña de FútbolApertura - 6Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 01:30 AM (UTC)Estadio Agustín Muquita Sánchez, La Chorrera
The Footlab model makes Plaza Amador the favourite at 61%, against 20% for a draw and 19% for San Francisco FC. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win San Francisco FC vs Plaza Amador?
Plaza Amador starts as the favourite with a 218-point Elo edge (1,788 vs 1,570).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Francisco FC have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Plaza Amador have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Veraguas(away) | 3-3 | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Independiente de La Chorrera(home) | 2-1 | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Herrera(home) | 3-1 | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Union Cocle(away) | 1-2 | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Deportivo Universitario(away) | 2-1 | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Alianza FC(away) | 4-2 | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Xelajú(home) | 5-2 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tauro FC(home) | 3-2 | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Firpo(home) | 2-1 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sporting San Miguelito(away) | 2-0 | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 San Francisco FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Plaza Amador win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Plaza Amador 2-1 San Francisco FC | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Plaza Amador 2-2 San Francisco FC | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
| May 31, 2025 | Plaza Amador 6-0 San Francisco FC | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
| Feb 26, 2025 | San Francisco FC 0-1 Plaza Amador | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Plaza Amador 1-0 San Francisco FC | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
| Mar 16, 2024 | San Francisco FC 2-0 Plaza Amador | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
Last archived meeting: Plaza Amador vs San Francisco FC on Mar 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
San Francisco FC score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Plaza Amador score 2.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco FC | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Plaza Amador | 2.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
San Francisco FC sit 2nd in Liga Panameña de Fútbol (10 points from 5 matches) and Plaza Amador sit 1st (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Plaza Amador | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 10 |
| 1 | Plaza Amador | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 28 | 16 | 31 |
| 1 | Plaza Amador | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 28 | 16 | 31 |
| 2 | San Francisco FC | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 10 |
| 4 | San Francisco FC | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 22 | 25 | 20 |
| 9 | San Francisco FC | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 22 | 25 | 20 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for San Francisco FC vs Plaza Amador?
- The Footlab model makes Plaza Amador the favourite at 61%, against 20% for a draw and 19% for San Francisco FC.
- Where and when is San Francisco FC vs Plaza Amador played?
- San Francisco FC vs Plaza Amador is played on August 30, 2026 at 01:30 AM (UTC) at Estadio Agustín Muquita Sánchez, in the Liga Panameña de Fútbol.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.