Le Havre vs Le Mans: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 14Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Océane, Le Havre
The Footlab AI model makes Le Havre the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Le Mans. The most likely score is 1-1. If Le Havre wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,403 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Le Havre vs Le Mans?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Le Havre (1,910) and Le Mans (1,975).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Le Havre vs Le Mans
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Le Havre
4-2-3-1- 9J. Maja
- 7A. Richardson
- 25M. Samatta
- 26S. Ebonog
- 30S. Nakamura
- 14R. Ndiaye
- 15A. Seko
- 5A. Touba
- 20D. Ouziad
- 23V. Sasso
- 93G. Gallon
Le Mans
3-1-4-2- 14L. Mafouta
- 13H. Diallo
- 26R. Bamba
- 10J. Vercruysse
- 29L. Bretelle
- 22L. Calodat
- 8A. Lauray
- 5H. Voyer
- 17S. Yohou
- 15N. Boissé
- 98N. Kocik
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 04:41 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Le Havre have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Le Mans have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Lille(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Boulogne(home) | 6-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Toulouse(away) | 2-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Angers(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Stade Brestois 29(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Paris Saint Germain(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Guingamp(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Lorient(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Lens(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Nice(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Le Havre wins, 0 draws, 2 Le Mans wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Le Mans 0-1 Le Havre | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Le Havre 0-1 Le Mans | Friendlies Clubs |
| Dec 3, 2019 | Le Havre 2-0 Le Mans | Ligue 2 |
| May 10, 2013 | Le Mans 0-4 Le Havre | Ligue 2 |
| Dec 14, 2012 | Le Havre 1-0 Le Mans | Ligue 2 |
| Feb 17, 2012 | Le Mans 3-1 Le Havre | Ligue 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Le Havre score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Le Mans score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre | 1.3 | 1.2 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Le Mans | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Le Havre sit 18th in Ligue 1 (2 points from 6 matches) and Le Mans sit 14th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Le Mans | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 6 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 2 |
A question about Le Havre vs Le Mans?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Le Havre vs Le Mans?
- The Footlab AI model makes Le Havre the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Le Mans.
- Where and when is Le Havre vs Le Mans played?
- Le Havre vs Le Mans is played on December 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Océane, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.