Stade Brestois 29 vs Estac Troyes: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 14Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Francis-Le Blé, Brest
The Footlab AI model makes Stade Brestois 29 the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Estac Troyes. The most likely score is 1-1. If Stade Brestois 29 wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,623 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stade Brestois 29 vs Estac Troyes?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Stade Brestois 29 (2,019) and Estac Troyes (1,989).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Stade Brestois 29 vs Estac Troyes
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Stade Brestois 29
4-2-3-1- 19L. Ajorque
- 13J. Chotard
- 8H. Magnetti
- 23K. Doumbia
- 9P. Mboup
- 17Mama Baldé
- 2B. Locko
- 4G. Lloris
- 70K. Lala
- 29L. Tousart
- 1E. Selvik
Estac Troyes
4-3-3- 23T. Nkada
- 20R. Ripart
- 10M. Ifnaoui
- 8M. Diop
- 17A. Mille
- 29D. Karim
- 6A. Monfray
- 4M. Diaz
- 2L. Maronnier
- 5P. Gozzi
- 40H. Konaté
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 11:50 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stade Brestois 29 have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Estac Troyes have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Lorient(away) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Nice(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Lille(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Angers(home) | 5-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Monza(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Le Mans(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Toulouse(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Lens(home) | 1-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Marseille(home) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Dijon(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Stade Brestois 29 wins, 3 draws, 0 Estac Troyes wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2025 | Estac Troyes 1-2 Stade Brestois 29 | Coupe de France |
| Mar 19, 2023 | Estac Troyes 2-2 Stade Brestois 29 | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 13, 2022 | Stade Brestois 29 2-1 Estac Troyes | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 13, 2022 | Stade Brestois 29 5-1 Estac Troyes | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 22, 2021 | Estac Troyes 1-1 Stade Brestois 29 | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 12, 2019 | Stade Brestois 29 1-1 Estac Troyes | Ligue 2 |
Last archived meeting: Estac Troyes vs Stade Brestois 29 on Feb 4, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Stade Brestois 29 score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Estac Troyes score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stade Brestois 29 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Estac Troyes | 1.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stade Brestois 29 sit 10th in Ligue 1 (12 points from 9 matches) and Estac Troyes sit 16th (8 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Stade Brestois 29 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 12 |
| 16 | Estac Troyes | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 8 |
A question about Stade Brestois 29 vs Estac Troyes?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stade Brestois 29 vs Estac Troyes?
- The Footlab AI model makes Stade Brestois 29 the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Estac Troyes.
- Where and when is Stade Brestois 29 vs Estac Troyes played?
- Stade Brestois 29 vs Estac Troyes is played on December 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Francis-Le Blé, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.