Stade Brestois 29 vs Estac Troyes: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 14Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Francis-Le Blé, Brest
The Footlab model makes Stade Brestois 29 the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Estac Troyes. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stade Brestois 29 vs Estac Troyes?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Stade Brestois 29 (1,937) and Estac Troyes (1,966).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stade Brestois 29 have 1 wins, 7 draws and 7 defeats; Estac Troyes have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Le Mans(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Nottingham Forest(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Venezia(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Stade Briochin(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Guingamp(home) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Paris FC(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Panetolikos(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Auxerre(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Chasselay MDA(home) | 5-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Grenoble(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Stade Brestois 29 win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Estac Troyes win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2025 | Estac Troyes 1-2 Stade Brestois 29 | Coupe de France |
| Mar 19, 2023 | Estac Troyes 2-2 Stade Brestois 29 | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 13, 2022 | Stade Brestois 29 2-1 Estac Troyes | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 13, 2022 | Stade Brestois 29 5-1 Estac Troyes | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 22, 2021 | Estac Troyes 1-1 Stade Brestois 29 | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 12, 2019 | Stade Brestois 29 1-1 Estac Troyes | Ligue 2 |
Last archived meeting: Estac Troyes vs Stade Brestois 29 on Feb 4, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Stade Brestois 29 score 1.3 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Estac Troyes score 2.1 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stade Brestois 29 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 0 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Estac Troyes | 2.1 | 0.8 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stade Brestois 29 sit 6th in Ligue 1 (1 points from 1 matches) and Estac Troyes sit 13th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Stade Brestois 29 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 13 | Estac Troyes | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stade Brestois 29 vs Estac Troyes?
- The Footlab model makes Stade Brestois 29 the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Estac Troyes.
- Where and when is Stade Brestois 29 vs Estac Troyes played?
- Stade Brestois 29 vs Estac Troyes is played on December 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Francis-Le Blé, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.