Le Mans vs Paris FC: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Matchday 22Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Marie-Marvingt, Le Mans
The Footlab AI model makes Paris FC the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Le Mans. The most likely score is 1-1. If Paris FC wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 5,832 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Le Mans vs Paris FC?
Paris FC starts as the favourite with a 150-point Elo edge (2,131 vs 1,980).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Le Mans vs Paris FC
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Le Mans
3-1-4-2- 14L. Mafouta
- 25D. Guèye
- 29L. Bretelle
- 18L. Buadés
- 22L. Calodat
- 10J. Vercruysse
- 23D. Traoré
- 17S. Yohou
- 5H. Voyer
- 26R. Bamba
- 98N. Kocik
Paris FC
4-2-3-1- 9L. Sinayoko
- 33P. Lees-Melou
- 10I. Kebbal
- 7P. Pagis
- 20M. Lopez
- 27M. Simon
- 42D. Coppola
- 14H. Traoré
- 6Otávio
- 31S. Chergui
- 1K. Trapp
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 01:47 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Le Mans have 2 wins, 7 draws and 6 defeats; Paris FC have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Monaco(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Estac Troyes(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Auxerre(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Toulouse(home) | 0-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Paris Saint Germain(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Auxerre(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Monaco(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Lens(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Rennes(home) | 4-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Lorient(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Le Mans win, 0 draws, 1 Paris FC win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 15, 2020 | Le Mans 1-3 Paris FC | Friendlies Clubs |
| Dec 21, 2019 | Paris FC 0-3 Le Mans | Ligue 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Le Mans score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Paris FC score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Mans | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Paris FC | 1.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Le Mans sit 15th in Ligue 1 (8 points from 10 matches) and Paris FC sit 3rd (20 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Paris FC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 20 |
| 15 | Le Mans | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 19 | 8 |
A question about Le Mans vs Paris FC?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Le Mans vs Paris FC?
- The Footlab AI model makes Paris FC the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Le Mans.
- Where and when is Le Mans vs Paris FC played?
- Le Mans vs Paris FC is played on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Marie-Marvingt, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.