Paris Saint Germain vs Lens: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 22Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Parc des Princes, Paris
The Footlab AI model makes Paris Saint Germain the favourite at 68%, against 18% for a draw and 14% for Lens. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,527 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Paris Saint Germain vs Lens?
Paris Saint Germain starts as the favourite with a 163-point Elo edge (2,364 vs 2,201).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Paris Saint Germain vs Lens
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Paris Saint Germain
4-3-3- 11M. Akliouche
- 10O. Dembélé
- 9Ferran Torres
- 87João Neves
- 17Vitinha
- 33W. Zaïre-Emery
- 2A. Hakimi
- 51W. Pacho
- 5Marquinhos
- 25Nuno Mendes
- 39M. Safonov
Lens
3-4-2-1- 11O. Édouard
- 10F. Thauvin
- 14M. Udol
- 27M. Cuisance
- 2R. Aguilar
- 8Y. Titraoui
- 21A. Haidara
- 32K. Antonio
- 25I. Ganiou
- 24J. Gradit
- 40R. Risser
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 12:17 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paris Saint Germain have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Lens have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Manchester City(away) | 4-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Le Mans(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Marseille(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Stade Brestois 29(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Slovan Bratislava(home) | 6-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Sporting CP(home) | 0-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Lyon(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Monaco(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Le Mans(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Slavia Praha(away) | 3-2 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Paris Saint Germain wins, 1 draw, 1 Lens win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lens 1-0 Paris Saint Germain | Trophée des Champions |
| May 13, 2026 | Lens 0-2 Paris Saint Germain | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Paris Saint Germain 2-0 Lens | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Lens 1-2 Paris Saint Germain | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 22, 2024 | Lens 1-1 Paris Saint Germain | Coupe de France |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Paris Saint Germain 1-0 Lens | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: Lens vs Paris Saint Germain on Aug 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Paris Saint Germain score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Lens score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint Germain | 1.9 | 1.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Lens | 1.8 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Paris Saint Germain sit 6th in Ligue 1 (11 points from 6 matches) and Lens sit 11th (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Paris Saint Germain | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Lens | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 7 |
A question about Paris Saint Germain vs Lens?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Paris Saint Germain vs Lens?
- The Footlab AI model makes Paris Saint Germain the favourite at 68%, against 18% for a draw and 14% for Lens.
- Where and when is Paris Saint Germain vs Lens played?
- Paris Saint Germain vs Lens is played on February 28, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Parc des Princes, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.