Paris FC vs Stade Brestois 29: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 23Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Jean Bouin, Paris
The Footlab model makes Paris FC the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Stade Brestois 29. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Paris FC vs Stade Brestois 29?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Paris FC (2,014) and Stade Brestois 29 (1,941).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paris FC have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Stade Brestois 29 have 1, 7 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Estac Troyes(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Angers(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FSV Mainz 05(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | VfB Stuttgart(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Reims(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Le Mans(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Nottingham Forest(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Venezia(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Stade Briochin(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Guingamp(home) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Paris FC win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Stade Brestois 29 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Paris FC 4-0 Stade Brestois 29 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Stade Brestois 29 1-2 Paris FC | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 21, 2019 | Paris FC 0-1 Stade Brestois 29 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 10, 2018 | Stade Brestois 29 1-1 Paris FC | Ligue 2 |
| Feb 24, 2018 | Paris FC 0-1 Stade Brestois 29 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 22, 2017 | Stade Brestois 29 1-1 Paris FC | Ligue 2 |
Last archived meeting: Paris FC vs Stade Brestois 29 on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Paris FC score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Stade Brestois 29 score 1.3 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris FC | 1.6 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Stade Brestois 29 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 0 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Paris FC sit 12th in Ligue 1 (1 points from 1 matches) and Stade Brestois 29 sit 6th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Stade Brestois 29 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 12 | Paris FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Paris FC vs Stade Brestois 29?
- The Footlab model makes Paris FC the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Stade Brestois 29.
- Where and when is Paris FC vs Stade Brestois 29 played?
- Paris FC vs Stade Brestois 29 is played on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Jean Bouin, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.