Le Mans vs Paris Saint Germain: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 20Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Marie-Marvingt, Le Mans
The Footlab AI model makes Paris Saint Germain the favourite at 70%, against 18% for a draw and 12% for Le Mans. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Le Mans vs Paris Saint Germain?
Paris Saint Germain is a heavy favourite: 2,363 Elo points against 1,986, a 376-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Le Mans vs Paris Saint Germain
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Le Mans
3-1-4-2- 14L. Mafouta
- 13H. Diallo
- 26R. Bamba
- 10J. Vercruysse
- 29L. Bretelle
- 22L. Calodat
- 8A. Lauray
- 5H. Voyer
- 17S. Yohou
- 15N. Boissé
- 98N. Kocik
Paris Saint Germain
4-3-3- 11M. Akliouche
- 10O. Dembélé
- 9Ferran Torres
- 87João Neves
- 17Vitinha
- 33W. Zaïre-Emery
- 2A. Hakimi
- 51W. Pacho
- 5Marquinhos
- 25Nuno Mendes
- 39M. Safonov
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 10:50 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Le Mans have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Paris Saint Germain have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Paris Saint Germain(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Guingamp(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Lorient(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Lens(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Nice(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Manchester City(away) | 4-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Le Mans(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Marseille(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Stade Brestois 29(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Slovan Bratislava(home) | 6-1 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Le Mans wins, 0 draws, 4 Paris Saint Germain wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Paris Saint Germain 3-1 Le Mans | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 4, 2025 | Le Mans 0-2 Paris Saint Germain | Coupe de France |
| Jul 14, 2021 | Paris Saint Germain 4-0 Le Mans | Friendlies Clubs |
| Dec 18, 2019 | Le Mans 1-4 Paris Saint Germain | Coupe de la Ligue |
Last archived meeting: Paris Saint Germain vs Le Mans on Oct 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Le Mans score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Paris Saint Germain score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Mans | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Paris Saint Germain | 1.9 | 1.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Le Mans sit 14th in Ligue 1 (6 points from 6 matches) and Paris Saint Germain sit 6th (11 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Paris Saint Germain | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 11 |
| 14 | Le Mans | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 6 |
A question about Le Mans vs Paris Saint Germain?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Le Mans vs Paris Saint Germain?
- The Footlab AI model makes Paris Saint Germain the favourite at 70%, against 18% for a draw and 12% for Le Mans.
- Where and when is Le Mans vs Paris Saint Germain played?
- Le Mans vs Paris Saint Germain is played on February 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Marie-Marvingt, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.