Monaco vs Le Mans: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 21Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Louis-II, Monaco
The Footlab AI model makes Monaco the favourite at 68%, against 19% for a draw and 13% for Le Mans. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Monaco vs Le Mans?
Monaco starts as the favourite with a 196-point Elo edge (2,142 vs 1,945).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Monaco vs Le Mans
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Monaco
4-2-3-1- 11M. Abline
- 8L. Camara
- 6D. Zakaria
- 10A. Golovin
- 37E. Diop
- 7M. Detourbet
- 15E. Dier
- 72Sadibou Sané
- 2Vanderson
- 20Flávio Nazinho
- 1L. Hrádecký
Le Mans
3-1-4-2- 14L. Mafouta
- 13H. Diallo
- 26R. Bamba
- 10J. Vercruysse
- 29L. Bretelle
- 22L. Calodat
- 8A. Lauray
- 5H. Voyer
- 17S. Yohou
- 15N. Boissé
- 98N. Kocik
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 09:38 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Monaco have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Le Mans have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Toulouse(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Lens(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Strasbourg(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Paris Saint Germain(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Marseille(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Paris Saint Germain(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Guingamp(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Lorient(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Lens(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Nice(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Monaco wins, 1 draw, 0 Le Mans wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2013 | Monaco 2-1 Le Mans | Ligue 2 |
| Dec 22, 2012 | Le Mans 2-3 Monaco | Ligue 2 |
| Mar 30, 2012 | Le Mans 0-1 Monaco | Ligue 2 |
| Nov 5, 2011 | Monaco 2-2 Le Mans | Ligue 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Monaco score 2.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Le Mans score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco | 2.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Le Mans | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Monaco sit 1st in Ligue 1 (14 points from 6 matches) and Le Mans sit 14th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monaco | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 14 |
| 14 | Le Mans | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 6 |
A question about Monaco vs Le Mans?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Monaco vs Le Mans?
- The Footlab AI model makes Monaco the favourite at 68%, against 19% for a draw and 13% for Le Mans.
- Where and when is Monaco vs Le Mans played?
- Monaco vs Le Mans is played on February 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Louis-II, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.