Le Puy Foot vs Bastia: prediction and stats
Ligue 3Regular Season - 34Kick-off on May 21, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stade Charles Massot, Espaly-Saint-Marcel
The Footlab AI model makes Le Puy Foot the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Bastia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Le Puy Foot wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,515 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Le Puy Foot vs Bastia?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Le Puy Foot (1,907) and Bastia (1,829).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Le Puy Foot vs Bastia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Le Puy Foot
3-5-2- 17P. Nsingi
- 9M. Faty
- 10R. Xhemo
- 18A. Gauthier
- 13A. Fatahine
- 21L. Baret
- 7S. Kouassi
- 2Vinicius
- 3E. Seidou
- 19T. Ghalem
- 1Matis Carvalho
Bastia
4-3-3- 7C. Rodrigues
- 29M. Boumaaoui
- 13C. Melieres
- 4A. Roncaglia
- 3H. Makalou
- 10Alexandre Bi Zaouai
- 17J. Eickmayer
- 21N. Douce
- 20G. Akueson
- 2N. Zilliox
- 1T. De Percin
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 03:00 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Le Puy Foot have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Bastia have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Caen(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Aubagne(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Thionville Lusitanos(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Valenciennes(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Villefranche(home) | 4-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Quevilly(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Concarneau(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Orleans(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Gobelins(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Cannes(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Le Puy Foot win, 0 draws, 0 Bastia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | Bastia 0-2 Le Puy Foot | Ligue 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Le Puy Foot score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Bastia score 0.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Puy Foot | 1.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Bastia | 0.9 | 1.0 | 6 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Le Puy Foot sit 6th in Ligue 3 (17 points from 11 matches) and Bastia sit 11th (15 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Le Puy Foot | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 17 |
| 11 | Bastia | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 15 |
A question about Le Puy Foot vs Bastia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Le Puy Foot vs Bastia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Le Puy Foot the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Bastia.
- Where and when is Le Puy Foot vs Bastia played?
- Le Puy Foot vs Bastia is played on May 21, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Charles Massot, in the Ligue 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.