Le Puy Foot vs Bastia: prediction and stats
Ligue 3Regular Season - 34Kick-off on May 21, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stade Charles Massot, Espaly-Saint-Marcel
The Footlab model makes Le Puy Foot the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Bastia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Le Puy Foot vs Bastia?
Le Puy Foot starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (1,868 vs 1,768).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Le Puy Foot have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Bastia have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Amiens(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Versailles(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Bastia(away) | 2-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Montpellier(away) | 2-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Dijon(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Versailles(home) | 2-3 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Aubagne(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Le Puy Foot(home) | 0-2 | Ligue 3 |
| May 9, 2026 | Le Mans(home) | 0-2 | Ligue 2 |
| May 2, 2026 | Guingamp(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Le Puy Foot win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Bastia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | Bastia 0-2 Le Puy Foot | Ligue 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Le Puy Foot score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Bastia score 1.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Puy Foot | 1.3 | 1.4 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Bastia | 1.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Le Puy Foot sit 6th in Ligue 3 (6 points from 3 matches) and Bastia sit 12th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Le Puy Foot | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 12 | Bastia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Le Puy Foot vs Bastia?
- The Footlab model makes Le Puy Foot the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Bastia.
- Where and when is Le Puy Foot vs Bastia played?
- Le Puy Foot vs Bastia is played on May 21, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Charles Massot, in the Ligue 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.