Orleans vs Concarneau: prediction and stats
Ligue 3Regular Season - 34Kick-off on May 21, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stade de la Source, Orléans
The Footlab AI model makes Concarneau the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Orleans. The most likely score is 1-1. If Concarneau wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Orleans vs Concarneau?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Orleans (1,843) and Concarneau (1,837).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Orleans vs Concarneau
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Orleans
4-1-4-1- 19R. Legendre
- 7M. Diako
- 20B. Dali Amar
- 11G. Berthier
- 21L. Raillot
- 6H. Aubourg
- 5M. Sylla Diallo
- 3T. Ndicka
- 27M. Lemaitre
- 24I. Dramé
- 1F. Faham
Concarneau
4-2-3-1- 9S. Janno
- 8M. Picouleau
- 24C. Divialle Corbière
- 23L. Goujon
- 18F. Da Silva
- 22B. Macon
- 27J. Halby-Touré
- 5B. Etcheverria
- 6D. Seba
- 15Demba Yatera
- 1V. Viot
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 11:59 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Orleans have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Concarneau have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2026 | Bastia(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cannes(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Amiens(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Versailles(home) | 0-4 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Le Puy Foot(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Gobelins(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Bourg-en-bresse 01(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Caen(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Aubagne(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Thionville Lusitanos(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Orleans wins, 1 draw, 3 Concarneau wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | Concarneau 0-2 Orleans | Ligue 3 |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Orleans 1-1 Concarneau | Ligue 3 |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Concarneau 3-0 Orleans | Ligue 3 |
| Feb 7, 2025 | Concarneau 1-2 Orleans | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 6, 2024 | Orleans 2-3 Concarneau | Ligue 3 |
| May 26, 2023 | Orleans 1-2 Concarneau | Ligue 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Orleans score 1.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Concarneau score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orleans | 1.0 | 1.4 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Concarneau | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Orleans sit 14th in Ligue 3 (9 points from 9 matches) and Concarneau sit 3rd (16 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Concarneau | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 16 |
| 14 | Orleans | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 9 |
A question about Orleans vs Concarneau?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Orleans vs Concarneau?
- The Footlab AI model makes Concarneau the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Orleans.
- Where and when is Orleans vs Concarneau played?
- Orleans vs Concarneau is played on May 21, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stade de la Source, in the Ligue 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.