Lealtad vs Sporting Gijón II: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 20Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Las Callejas, Villaviciosa
The Footlab AI model makes Sporting Gijón II the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Lealtad. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sporting Gijón II wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 3,132 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lealtad vs Sporting Gijón II?
Sporting Gijón II starts as the favourite with a 152-point Elo edge (1,968 vs 1,816).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lealtad vs Sporting Gijón II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lealtad
4-3-3- AAdrián Rueda Colunga
- MM. Ouroui
- JJaime Alvarez
- 6Marcos Blanco
- YYerpes
- BBabafemo Fofana
- RRiki Menéndez
- OOmar Hernández
- AA. Mendy
- RRicardo Pesquera
- JJuan Junquera
Sporting Gijón II
Not enough data to predict the Sporting Gijón II lineup.
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 03:44 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lealtad have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Sporting Gijón II have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Caudal(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Langreo(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Avilés Stadium(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Llanes(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Sporting Gijón II(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Colunga(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Caudal(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Langreo(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Avilés Stadium(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Lealtad(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Lealtad win, 1 draw, 4 Sporting Gijón II wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Sporting Gijón II 1-0 Lealtad | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Jun 8, 2025 | Sporting Gijón II 0-1 Lealtad | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 1, 2025 | Lealtad 1-1 Sporting Gijón II | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Lealtad 0-1 Sporting Gijón II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 13, 2024 | Sporting Gijón II 1-0 Lealtad | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Lealtad 0-1 Sporting Gijón II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Sporting Gijón II vs Lealtad on Sep 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lealtad score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Sporting Gijón II score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lealtad | 1.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Sporting Gijón II | 1.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lealtad sit 9th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 (11 points from 7 matches) and Sporting Gijón II sit 1st (17 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting Gijón II | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 5 | 17 |
| 9 | Lealtad | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 11 |
A question about Lealtad vs Sporting Gijón II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lealtad vs Sporting Gijón II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sporting Gijón II the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Lealtad.
- Where and when is Lealtad vs Sporting Gijón II played?
- Lealtad vs Sporting Gijón II is played on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Las Callejas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.