Leatherhead vs Eastbourne Borough: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 22Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Fetcham Grove, Leatherhead, Surrey
The Footlab model makes Leatherhead the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Eastbourne Borough. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leatherhead vs Eastbourne Borough?
Leatherhead starts as the favourite with a 147-point Elo edge (1,859 vs 1,712).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leatherhead have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Eastbourne Borough have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Maldon & Tiptree(home) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Burgess Hill Town(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Welling United(home) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ramsgate(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Ashford Town (Middlesex)(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cray Wanderers(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Brentwood Town(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Three Bridges(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Aveley(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Tonbridge Angels(away) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Leatherhead score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Eastbourne Borough score 1.6 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leatherhead | 1.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Eastbourne Borough | 1.6 | 2.3 | 0 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leatherhead sit 8th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (7 points from 4 matches) and Eastbourne Borough sit 7th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Eastbourne Borough | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
| 8 | Leatherhead | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leatherhead vs Eastbourne Borough?
- The Footlab model makes Leatherhead the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Eastbourne Borough.
- Where and when is Leatherhead vs Eastbourne Borough played?
- Leatherhead vs Eastbourne Borough is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Fetcham Grove, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.