Dartford vs Burgess Hill Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 22Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Princes Park, Dartford, Kent
The Footlab model makes Dartford the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Burgess Hill Town. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dartford vs Burgess Hill Town?
A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate Dartford (1,910) and Burgess Hill Town (1,828).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dartford have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Burgess Hill Town have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Welling United(home) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Maldon & Tiptree(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Brentwood Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Three Bridges(away) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ashford United(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cheshunt(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leatherhead(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Whyteleafe(home) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Brentwood Town(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dover(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Dartford win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Burgess Hill Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | Burgess Hill Town 2-1 Dartford | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Sep 30, 2025 | Dartford 3-3 Burgess Hill Town | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jan 10, 2015 | Burgess Hill Town 1-2 Dartford | FA Trophy |
| Oct 25, 2014 | Dartford 3-1 Burgess Hill Town | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Burgess Hill Town vs Dartford on Jan 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dartford score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Burgess Hill Town score 1.6 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dartford | 1.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Burgess Hill Town | 1.6 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dartford sit 5th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (9 points from 4 matches) and Burgess Hill Town sit 14th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Dartford | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 9 |
| 14 | Burgess Hill Town | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dartford vs Burgess Hill Town?
- The Footlab model makes Dartford the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Burgess Hill Town.
- Where and when is Dartford vs Burgess Hill Town played?
- Dartford vs Burgess Hill Town is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Princes Park, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 12, 2026LeatherheadvsEastbourne Borough
- Dec 12, 2026WhitehawkvsEnfield Town
- Dec 12, 2026Brentwood TownvsCarshalton Athletic
- Dec 12, 2026RamsgatevsWelling United
- Dec 12, 2026Three BridgesvsDulwich Hamlet
- Dec 12, 2026CheshuntvsWhyteleafe
- Dec 12, 2026Cray WanderersvsMaldon & Tiptree
- Dec 12, 2026LewesvsAveley